Date: 09/07/2012

Wi-Fi access points sales to jump from 650K in 2012 to 6.8M in 2017, as per forecast

ABI Research has analyzed and estimated growth rate of Wi-Fi access points shipment due to telecom mobile service providers integrating Wi-Fi as carrier option in their mobile networks. ABI Research believes that carrier Wi-Fi equipment sales will grow almost ten times from about 650 thousand access points in 2012 to almost 6.8 million in 2017 as the new Wi-Fi standards roll out for mobile networks.

ABI says Wi-Fi Alliance, Wireless Broadband Alliance, and the GSM Association pushing for standard specifications like Hotspot 2.0 and NGH specifically tailored for carrier integrated Wi-Fi, allowing carriers to treat Wi-Fi as an integral part of their current network footprint.

By making ANDSF (a 3GPP standard) an intrinsic part of NGH, the GSMA, and WBA are creating a framework which will transform Wi-Fi’s role in cellular networks. “Successful and speedy implementation of ANDSF in NGH is critical to the growth of Carrier Wi-Fi,” says Nick Marshall, principal analyst, mobile networks.

ABI Research also believes that this growth will be moderated by the availability of suitable backhaul, availability of electrical power at the installation sites/ease of installation, operator acceptance of Wi-Fi, and the effectiveness of network management systems in controlling very large networks of Wi-Fi access points.

“There are many challenges to be overcome for an operator when considering deploying Wi-Fi as an off-load mechanism with operator enthusiasm for and acceptance of Wi-Fi not yet a given,” comments Marshall.

With this move into the carrier Wi-Fi segment, Cisco and Ruckus will encroach on market territory currently held by the traditional mobile equipment infrastructure vendors like Ericsson, Nokia Siemens Networks, and Alcatel-Lucent, opines ABI.

With these new developments traditional mobile infrastructure vendors are positioning themselves for share gains in market territory currently held by the Wi-Fi vendors. Ericsson will encroach on market territory currently held by the traditional Wi-Fi equipment vendors such as Cisco, Aruba, Ruckus, etc. and ABI Research expects market shares to fluctuate as these competitive dynamics play out over the next few years, says ABI.