Date: 01/12/2008
Semiconductor equipment sales to drop to $30.91 Billion in 2008
As per SEMI's year-end forecast, semiconductor equipment sales to reach $30.91 billion in year 2008. The forecast indicates that, following 5.7 percent market growth in 2007, the equipment market will decline almost 28 percent in 2008. SEMI expects the market to decline about 21 percent in 2009, and then post almost 31 percent growth in 2010.
"Worldwide semiconductor manufacturing equipment sales have declined to levels last seen in 2003 and we anticipate a second year of double-digit decline in 2009," said Stanley T. Myers, president and CEO of SEMI. "Impaired or nonexistent business trend visibility is pervasive amidst the deteriorating global economy. Therefore our outlook for 2010 is based on patterns of previous industry recoveries."
Wafer processing equipment, the largest product segment by dollar value, is expected to decline by about 28 percent in 2008 to $22.95 billion. Survey respondents anticipate that the market for assembly and packaging equipment will decline by almost 24 percent to $2.16 billion in 2008. The market for equipment to test semiconductors is expected to decline by about 27 percent to $3.69 billion this year.
The Japanese market is projected to decline by about 20 percent, but it will surpass Taiwan to become the leading region for sales of new equipment.
South Korea is expected to decline by about 28 percent in 2008, and sales of new equipment in China will decline by 35 percent, while the Rest-of-World market regions will decline by about 10 percent.
The following survey results are given in terms of market size in billions of U.S. dollars and percentage growth over the prior year:
Forecast by Equipment Segment
2007 Actual
2008
% Chng
2009
% Chng
2010
% Chng
Equipment Type
$B
$B
$B
$B
Wafer Processing
$31.95
$22.95
-28.2%
$17.91
-21.9%
$23.59
31.7%
Assembly & Packaging
2.84
2.16
-23.8%
1.69
-21.8%
2.24
32.4%
Test
5.06
3.69
-27.1%
3.06
-17.1%
3.88
26.7%
Other
2.92
2.11
-27.8%
1.63
-22.7%
2.06
26.3%
Total Equipment*
$42.77
$30.91
-27.7%
$24.29
-21.4%
$31.77
30.8%
Forecast by Region
2007 Actual
2008
% Chng
2009
% Chng
2010
% Chng
Market Region
$B
$B
$B
$B
North America
$6.55
$5.60
-14.4%
$4.36
-22.2%
$5.09
16.8%
Japan
9.31
7.42
-20.4%
5.38
-27.5%
6.58
22.4%
Taiwan
10.65
5.59
-47.5%
3.99
-28.7%
6.44
61.5%
Europe
2.94
2.36
-19.6%
2.45
3.4%
2.99
22.4%
South Korea
7.35
5.30
-27.9%
4.35
-18.0%
5.16
18.7%
China
2.92
1.90
-35.0%
1.55
-18.5%
2.22
43.2%
Rest of World
3.05
2.74
-10.0%
2.23
-18.7%
3.28
47.3%
Total Equipment*
$42.77
$30.91
-27.7%
$24.29
-21.4%
$31.77
30.8%